Author | Message | Time |
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iago | This was a lot of outrage over the electronic voting machines, and one show even went so far as to demonstrate how a trained monkey could exploit them. Here's a post about it from elsewhere (not by me): [quote]How can a system this badly broken still be in use and maintain control? http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/11/08/politics/main1027281.shtml Nobody bothers to even ask how many other votes there were already in the system or what happened to them? Who was in charge of inputting the votes, how many people's votes did he input, who did he have them vote for and why didn't he purge them after the test? http://nightweed.com/usavotefacts.html The US elections are clearly invalid, even by the lowest banana-state standards. Why is no accountability taking place? [/quote] In this particular case, it seems that sample data wasn't cleaned out of the database. They left fake votes in the database? I'm just wondering how Americans feel about putting their votes into computers that are connected to the internet, that store votes in password-less databases that anybody who has access to the computers has access to, and then sending he votes over the Internet to the main collector? <edit> also, the voting machines are made by a company with a really bad track record. I don't have information on that handy, but I know I've read a lot of bad things about Diebold, especially because they have a strong political agenda. <edit2> Aha, here's the story I was looking for: "Diebold consultant Jeff Dean was convicted of planting back doors in his software and using a "high degree of sophistication" to evade detection over a period of 2 years." http://www.chuckherrin.com/HackthevoteFAQ.htm#how http://www.blackboxvoting.org/bbv_chapter-8.pdf Is that really the kind of person you want counting your votes? | November 14, 2005, 6:30 PM |
Arta | It's the refusal to imlement a paper trail that confuses me. Obviously electronic voting is a great idea, but without a verifiable paper trail that records each vote, it'll never be trustworthy. | November 15, 2005, 11:28 AM |
powered by nissan | americans ::) | December 1, 2005, 6:54 AM |
iago | To resurrect this topic, blackboxvoting.org have recently sued (successfully) for audit logs on Florida's voting terminals. full story More details [quote]The internal logs of at least 40 Sequoia touch-screen voting machines reveal that votes were time and date-stamped as cast two weeks before the election, sometimes in the middle of the night. .... several dozen voting machines with votes for the Nov. 2, 2004 election cast on dates like Oct. 16, 15, 19, 13, 25, 28 2004 and one tape dated in 2010. These machines did not contain any votes date-stamped on Nov. 2, 2004. [/quote] | February 24, 2006, 4:11 PM |
DarkMinion | Here we go... | February 25, 2006, 4:40 PM |
iago | [quote author=DarkMinion link=topic=13233.msg147027#msg147027 date=1140885649] Here we go... [/quote] Hmm? If your elections aren't being fairly performed, that's the type of thing that should be widely known. | February 25, 2006, 4:52 PM |
DarkMinion | Just IMO, this would've never been brought up had Kerry been elected. Yes, I know you're Canadian. | February 25, 2006, 4:54 PM |
Arta | I don't think that's true at all. | February 25, 2006, 5:09 PM |
DarkMinion | You're entitled to your opinion. | February 25, 2006, 5:21 PM |
iago | [quote author=DarkMinion link=topic=13233.msg147029#msg147029 date=1140886477] Just IMO, this would've never been brought up had Kerry been elected. Yes, I know you're Canadian. [/quote] They were investigating the voting machines before the 2004 election. | February 25, 2006, 5:58 PM |
hismajesty | [quote author=iago link=topic=13233.msg147036#msg147036 date=1140890306] [quote author=DarkMinion link=topic=13233.msg147029#msg147029 date=1140886477] Just IMO, this would've never been brought up had Kerry been elected. Yes, I know you're Canadian. [/quote] They were investigating the voting machines before the 2004 election. [/quote] The lawsuit was for the 2004 election. | February 25, 2006, 6:08 PM |
iago | [quote author=hismajesty[yL] link=topic=13233.msg147037#msg147037 date=1140890926] [quote author=iago link=topic=13233.msg147036#msg147036 date=1140890306] [quote author=DarkMinion link=topic=13233.msg147029#msg147029 date=1140886477] Just IMO, this would've never been brought up had Kerry been elected. Yes, I know you're Canadian. [/quote] They were investigating the voting machines before the 2004 election. [/quote] The lawsuit was for the 2004 election. [/quote] They were still investigating the machines. You can't have a lawsuit for nothing. | February 25, 2006, 6:19 PM |
Myndfyr | [quote author=iago link=topic=13233.msg147039#msg147039 date=1140891565] They were still investigating the machines. You can't have a lawsuit for nothing. [/quote] This is America! Of course you can! Bush won by ~400,000 votes. Statistically speaking, that's extremely significant. Statistically speaking too, any "misvotes" or such would get counted as the error term. Statistically speaking, the error term is determined not to be the deciding factor when there is a statistically significant difference between the populations. Sampling Error = sqrt(p x q / n) where n = total number of respondents, p = % for Bush, q = % against Bush E = sqrt( .52 x .48 / 7609810) = sqrt( 3.279976766831234945419136614449e-8 ) = 1.8110706134304192131005208672785 x 10[sup]-4[/sup] I think it's pretty clear that even with statistically probable cheating on either side, the numbers speak for themselves. | February 25, 2006, 6:35 PM |
iago | [quote author=MyndFyre[vL] link=topic=13233.msg147040#msg147040 date=1140892539] [quote author=iago link=topic=13233.msg147039#msg147039 date=1140891565] They were still investigating the machines. You can't have a lawsuit for nothing. [/quote] This is America! Of course you can! Bush won by ~400,000 votes. Statistically speaking, that's extremely significant. Statistically speaking too, any "misvotes" or such would get counted as the error term. Statistically speaking, the error term is determined not to be the deciding factor when there is a statistically significant difference between the populations. Sampling Error = sqrt(p x q / n) where n = total number of respondents, p = % for Bush, q = % against Bush E = sqrt( .52 x .48 / 7609810) = sqrt( 3.279976766831234945419136614449e-8 ) = 1.8110706134304192131005208672785 x 10[sup]-4[/sup] I think it's pretty clear that even with statistically probable cheating on either side, the numbers speak for themselves. [/quote] So you can draw some conclusions from that: a) It doesn't statistically matter if you vote. b) If some people's votes are lost/wrong/not counted, it doesn't matter. Is that the logical conclusion of what you're saying? Or did I miss something? | February 25, 2006, 9:52 PM |
Arta | Either way, I don't think the last election is relevant at all. Kerry didn't even contest the result. Even if you do consider the last election to be relevant, I see no reason why Republicans wouldn't kick up similar fuss if they had lost, and rightly so. The outcome of elections should not be influenced by the use or otherwise of voting machines. It's to everyone's advantage to make sure that these machines are open, verifiable and secure. | February 26, 2006, 3:51 PM |
Myndfyr | [quote author=iago link=topic=13233.msg147053#msg147053 date=1140904353] So you can draw some conclusions from that: a) It doesn't statistically matter if you vote. b) If some people's votes are lost/wrong/not counted, it doesn't matter. Is that the logical conclusion of what you're saying? Or did I miss something? [/quote] To a), no, it doesn't matter if you vote statistically, as long as a large N does vote. When N becomes sufficiently small, votes do statistically have significance. But this is no longer true in general once N is greater than roughly 2,000. I'm sorry if this destroys some kind of illusion you had about how "every vote counts." Practically speaking it does; but when it boils down, high-N voting is almost always indicative of the will of the larger overall population. To b), statistical error assumes that the lost/wrong/not counted votes occur randomly, and the random distribution would cause these votes to be cast incorrectly across the board for the benefit or detriment of all candidates equally. Given a sufficiently high N, error in this comes out in the wash, as I said, unless there is specific evidence of cheating. But note that the website reporting problems simply said there were problems, not in whose favor they were -- for all we know the "early" votes may have been for Kerry only. Floriday was not even close to being an issue state -- if it had been within a couple hundred or maybe even a thousand votes, then the problems with a few voting machines and a few dozen votes might be relevant. But it's not. | February 26, 2006, 8:46 PM |
iago | [quote author=MyndFyre[vL] link=topic=13233.msg147157#msg147157 date=1140986771] To a), no, it doesn't matter if you vote statistically, as long as a large N does vote. When N becomes sufficiently small, votes do statistically have significance. But this is no longer true in general once N is greater than roughly 2,000. I'm sorry if this destroys some kind of illusion you had about how "every vote counts." Practically speaking it does; but when it boils down, high-N voting is almost always indicative of the will of the larger overall population. [/quote] No, I'm firmly against the idea that "every vote counts". I just wanted to make sure that you realized the implications of what you said. Apparently you do, so that's fine. [quote author=MyndFyre[vL] link=topic=13233.msg147157#msg147157 date=1140986771] To b), statistical error assumes that the lost/wrong/not counted votes occur randomly, and the random distribution would cause these votes to be cast incorrectly across the board for the benefit or detriment of all candidates equally. Given a sufficiently high N, error in this comes out in the wash, as I said, unless there is specific evidence of cheating. But note that the website reporting problems simply said there were problems, not in whose favor they were -- for all we know the "early" votes may have been for Kerry only. [/quote] You're right. But there is still a serious problem. We have to ask: is it possible to rig an election? And, if so, how can we tell? I don't know/care if the previous one was. Realistically, it's too late for it to matter. I'm not going to speculate any longer (in this thread) about whether anything happened in the previous election, just discussing the technology that was used. We have to imagine the worst case. Let us suppose that there IS an evil person who wants to become president. A Stalin or a Hitler or a Bill Gates (just joking). Whoever. Would it be possible for him to rig an election? I think that right now, with the current technology that your country is moving towards, the answer is yes. Some reasons are that voting machines have no encryption, they all have the same administrator password that many people know, they are attached to the public Internet with no security in front of them, they send their results over the public internet, and there were many other problems that I forget now. I think it's clear that the machines are, in their present state, a danger. Would it be possible to detect what had happened after the fact? I think right now, with the current technology, the answer is no. On the machines that are being used, there are no printed copies of votes that can be verified. The voters never know that they voted for the correct person and there is no way to perform a re-count. Although this is a theoretical problem, it is NOT an impossible situation, and it's a situation that's worth being concerned about. | February 27, 2006, 3:55 AM |
CrAz3D | If everyone believes "not every vote counts" & then they don't vote then you have like 0 people voting. | February 27, 2006, 4:08 AM |
iago | There will never be 0 people voting. The idea of 'your vote counts' is kind of an odd situation. In most cases, your vote doesn't count. But everybody's vote does. *shrug* | February 27, 2006, 4:53 AM |
CrAz3D | [quote author=iago link=topic=13233.msg147189#msg147189 date=1141015997] There will never be 0 people voting. The idea of 'your vote counts' is kind of an odd situation. In most cases, your vote doesn't count. But everybody's vote does. *shrug* [/quote] Individually no one's vote matters in relation to the massive number it takes to get someone elected. However, if it were not for each individual vote there would be no masses deciding issues. To think that your vote simply does not count is idiotic. | February 27, 2006, 6:38 AM |
Topaz | Keep in mind that the popular vote counts for nothing but statistical use. They probably don't use voting machines in the electoral college ;). | February 27, 2006, 7:10 AM |
CrAz3D | popular vote is what STRONGLY influences electoral college | February 27, 2006, 3:07 PM |
iago | [quote author=CrAz3D link=topic=13233.msg147191#msg147191 date=1141022325] [quote author=iago link=topic=13233.msg147189#msg147189 date=1141015997] There will never be 0 people voting. The idea of 'your vote counts' is kind of an odd situation. In most cases, your vote doesn't count. But everybody's vote does. *shrug* [/quote] Individually no one's vote matters in relation to the massive number it takes to get someone elected. However, if it were not for each individual vote there would be no masses deciding issues. To think that your vote simply does not count is idiotic. [/quote] No, your individual vote doesn't count. MyndFyre proved that statistically. Anybody who doesn't believe it is "idiotic", as you said, because there's a mathematical proof for it in this thread. Sorry to burst your bubble. | February 27, 2006, 4:02 PM |
Rule | [quote author=iago link=topic=13233.msg147207#msg147207 date=1141056127] MyndFyre proved that statistically. [/quote] *cough* I'm not so sure about that. I don't really have time to explain though. Maybe in a few months. | February 27, 2006, 4:47 PM |
Grok | Oh myopic ones, the impact of electronic voting machines is most strongly felt in the thousands of other election races that are not the two Democratic/Republican National Presidential Primaries. Those are two important elections, but forget about those for now. Those just invoke strong emotional responses and detract from the proper discussion of electronic voting machines. The vote. There is exactly one for a given election issue for each voter. The sovereign citizen voter should be able to confirm both that his vote was counted, and counted accurately. The objections to electronic voting machine are that they do not provide accountability and verifiability. We know how to build machines that do accurately record a vote, verify, and count the votes. Many of the machines built so far have been done by ATM vendors who had the capital and political connections (say hip pocket) to get the contracts for states, counties, and cities. Companies like Diebold that are perfectly willing to strongarm anyone that gets in their way. Just because they have the captial and connections does not mean they have the expertise to build a proper voting machine. In that case you look to what they have built to judge, and so far, they have proven themselves incompetent. Now switch viewpoints. Forget about the builder companies involved for a minute and approach it from the citizen/city vector. The city should be responsible to the voter for accountability and verifiability. In the past, this were always true with ballots always being available for a challenge, that might possibly trigger a recount. The electronic voting machines having no paper trail remove the possibility that any vote can be verified, or recounted. In effect, the machine could spit out any results and we must be forced to accept those results. There's no path to challenge the counting. | February 27, 2006, 6:02 PM |
CrAz3D | [quote author=iago link=topic=13233.msg147207#msg147207 date=1141056127] No, your individual vote doesn't count. MyndFyre proved that statistically. Anybody who doesn't believe it is "idiotic", as you said, because there's a mathematical proof for it in this thread. Sorry to burst your bubble. [/quote] I don't think he said your vote doesn't count, I believe he just explained that if a few people don't vote it won't drastically change the outcome. If by your statement "your individual vote doesn't count" & the fact that everyone votes individually wouldn't that mean that no votes count at all? | February 28, 2006, 2:18 AM |
Myndfyr | [quote author=CrAz3D link=topic=13233.msg147282#msg147282 date=1141093130] [quote author=iago link=topic=13233.msg147207#msg147207 date=1141056127] No, your individual vote doesn't count. MyndFyre proved that statistically. Anybody who doesn't believe it is "idiotic", as you said, because there's a mathematical proof for it in this thread. Sorry to burst your bubble. [/quote] I don't think he said your vote doesn't count, I believe he just explained that if a few people don't vote it won't drastically change the outcome. If by your statement "your individual vote doesn't count" & the fact that everyone votes individually wouldn't that mean that no votes count at all? [/quote] Everyone doesn't vote individually though, everyone votes aggregately. Once you get above N > (roughly) 5,000 your vote no longer counts. The fact that you voted (along with thousands if not millions of others) contributes to the lessening power of your vote relative to the rest of the population. If only a few people voted, they would have a lot more power. However, iago, I didn't mathematically "prove" it, I simply demonstrated that it was highly unlikely to be otherwise. ;) | February 28, 2006, 3:04 AM |